Authors

• Laura L. Taylor
• Edsel A. Pen ̃a

Abstract

A resource-efficient approach to making inferences about the distributional properties of the failure times in a competing risks setting is presented. Efficiency is gained by observing recurrences of the compet- ing risks over a random monitoring period. The resulting model is called the recurrent competing risks model (RCRM) and is coupled with two repair strategies whenever the system fails. Maximum likelihood estima- tors of the parameters of the marginal distribution functions associated with each of the competing risks and also of the system lifetime dis- tribution function are presented. Estimators are derived under perfect and partial repair strategies. Consistency and asymptotic properties of the estimators are obtained. The estimation methods are applied to a data set of failures for cars under warranty. Simulation studies are used to ascertain the small sample properties and the efficiency gains of the resulting estimators.

Keywords

• Competing risks
• martingales
• perfect and partial repairs
• recurrent events
• repairable systems
• Survival analysis